AI boom may not have positive outcome, warns UK competition watchdog, CMA

Risks include high prices as well as proliferation of false information, fraud and fake reviews, says CMA

People should not assume a positive outcome from the artificial intelligence boom, the UK’s competition watchdog has warned, citing risks including a proliferation of false information, fraud and fake reviews as well as high prices for using the technology.

The Competition and Markets Authority said people and businesses could benefit from a new generation of AI systems but dominance by entrenched players and flouting of consumer protection law posed a number of potential threats.

The CMA made the warning in an initial review of foundation models, the technology that underpins AI tools such as the ChatGPT chatbot and image generators such as Stable Diffusion.

The emergence of ChatGPT in particular has triggered a debate over the impact of generative AI – a catch-all term for tools that produce convincing text, image and voice outputs from typed human prompts – on the economy by eliminating white-collar jobs in areas such as law, IT and the media, as well as the potential for mass-producing disinformation targeting voters and consumers.

The CMA chief executive, Sarah Cardell, said the speed at which AI was becoming a part of everyday life for people and businesses was “dramatic”, with the potential for making millions of everyday tasks easier as well as boosting productivity – a measure of economic efficiency, or the amount of output generated by a worker for each hour worked.

However, Cardell warned that people should not assume a beneficial outcome. “We can’t take a positive future for granted,” she said in a statement. “There remains a real risk that the use of AI develops in a way that undermines consumer trust or is dominated by a few players who exert market power that prevents the full benefits being felt across the economy.”

The CMA defines foundation models as “large, general machine-learning models that are trained on vast amounts of data and can be adapted to a wide range of tasks and operations” including powering chatbots, image generators and Microsoft’s 365 office software products.

The watchdog estimates about 160 foundation models have been released by a range of firms including Google, the Facebook owner Meta, and Microsoft, as well as new AI firms such as the ChatGPT developer OpenAI and the UK-based Stability AI, which funded the Stable Diffusion image generator.

The CMA added that many firms already had a presence in two or more key aspects of the AI model ecosystem, with big AI developers such as Google, Microsoft and Amazon owning vital infrastructure for producing and distributing foundation models such as datacentres, servers and data repositories, as well as a presence in markets such as online shopping, search and software.

The regulator also said it would monitor closely the impact of investments by big tech firms in AI developers, such as Microsoft in OpenAI and the Google parent Alphabet in Anthropic, with both deals including the provision of cloud computing services – an important resource for the sector.

It is “essential” that the AI market does not fall into the hands of a small number of companies, with a potential short-term consequence that consumers are exposed to significant levels of false information, AI-enabled fraud and fake reviews, the CMA said.

In the long term, it could enable firms that develop foundation models to gain or entrench positions of market power, and also result in companies charging high prices for using the technology.

AIBoom.UK’s GenAI Product Ranking by Market Power (High to Low):

AI AssistantBest ForPricingRevenuesFunding Raised (if private)Market Power
ChatGPTGeneral-purpose conversational AI, coding, and content generationFree plan with limited features. ChatGPT Plus at $20/month.N/A (part of OpenAI)$11.3B1
Google Gemini (formerly Bard)Multimodal AI with problem-solving capabilitiesStandard is free. Premium Plan for $19.99/monthN/A (part of Google)N/A2
Microsoft CopilotAI-driven productivity tools (e.g., in Microsoft 365 apps)$30/monthN/A (part of Microsoft)N/A3
Meta LLAMA 3AI experimentation and developmentFree to useN/A (part of Meta)N/A4
Claude 3Large-scale AI deployment3 different pricing versionsN/A$1.5B (Anthropic)5
Github CopilotAI coding companion30-day free trial. Paid plan costs $10/month.N/A (part of GitHub, Microsoft-owned)N/A6
Cohere GenerateEnterprise AI platformFree plan, pay-as-you-go pricingN/A$445M7
Character AILifelike AI conversationsFree with limited features. Premium at $9.99/month.N/A$315M8
Perplexity AIProfessional question-answering AIFree plan. Premium starts at $20/month.N/A$28.7M9
You.comPersonalized search and app creationFree to useN/A$45M10
HuggingChatOpen-source AI chat alternativeFree to useN/A$160M11
CursorAI-powered code editorFree plan, paid starts at $20/month.N/A$12M12
Pi.aiAI companion for engaging conversationsFree to useN/A$36M13
ChatsonicConversational AI across use casesFree with 50 generations/day, paid plan at $12/monthN/A$2.5M14
PoeAI-assisted writingFree plan with limited featuresN/AN/A (Quora-funded)15
TLDR ThisSummarizes lengthy documentsFreemium modelN/AN/A16
GrokEdgy AI interactions, part of X platformAvailable to premium+ usersN/A (part of X)N/A17
AIBoom.UK Analysis of Top GenAI products by market ranking

Factors for Market Power Ranking:

  1. Company Backing: Assistants backed by large companies (OpenAI, Google, Microsoft, Meta) dominate the list.
  2. Funding: Assistants like Claude 3 (Anthropic) and Cohere Generate have substantial private funding, increasing their market influence.
  3. User Base and Ecosystem: Assistants tied to established ecosystems (e.g., Microsoft Copilot for Office 365, Github Copilot for coding) have a higher market power.
  4. Innovation and Technology: Products like ChatGPT and Claude 3 have pushed the boundaries of generative AI, placing them higher on the list.

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